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Implements a new probability estimator based on a probability theory framework. The computed probability consists of: * the direct channel probability, which is estimated based on a depleted liquidity distribution model, formulas and broader concept derived after Pickhardt et al. https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.08576 * an extension of the probability model to incorporate knowledge decay after time for previous successes and failures * a mixed node probability taking into account successes/failures on other channels of the node (similar to the apriori approach)
7.5 KiB
7.5 KiB